2012 round population projections

The 2012 round of projections were the first to incorporate initial results from the 2011-Census. The projections adopted ONS’s subsequent 2011 mid-year estimate as the base population from which to project forward.

No migration data was available from the census to update the models so these used a mix of modified rates from the 2001 Census and rates taken from ONS’s 2010-based subnational projections.

No population back-series consistent with the 2011 mid-year estimate was available at the time the projections were being produced. A consistent back-series is crucial for the projection process as it is used to generate the rates and propensities governing fertility, mortality and migration used in the projections. The GLA produced its own back-series consistent with 2001 and 2011 mid-year estimates.

For this round, both trend-based and development-linked projections were produced. The development-linked projections made use of trajectories derived from the 2009 Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment. Household formation rates were based on those from DCLG’s 2011-based household projections.

Cite this as

None (2023). 2012 round population projections [Data set]. University of Glasgow. https://doi.org/10.20394/iq8ia2eh
Private DOI This DOI is not yet resolvable.
It is available for use in manuscripts, and will be published when the Dataset is made public.

Additional Info

Title 2012 round population projections
Alternative title
URL 2012-round-population-projections
Description

The 2012 round of projections were the first to incorporate initial results from the 2011-Census. The projections adopted ONS’s subsequent 2011 mid-year estimate as the base population from which to project forward.

No migration data was available from the census to update the models so these used a mix of modified rates from the 2001 Census and rates taken from ONS’s 2010-based subnational projections.

No population back-series consistent with the 2011 mid-year estimate was available at the time the projections were being produced. A consistent back-series is crucial for the projection process as it is used to generate the rates and propensities governing fertility, mortality and migration used in the projections. The GLA produced its own back-series consistent with 2001 and 2011 mid-year estimates.

For this round, both trend-based and development-linked projections were produced. The development-linked projections made use of trajectories derived from the 2009 Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment. Household formation rates were based on those from DCLG’s 2011-based household projections.

Content
Subjects
Topics
Dataset Citation
Time Period Coverage
Geographical Coverage
Spatial Units
Observation Units
Resource Type
Data Format
Weighting
Method of Collection
Collection Status
Dataset Aggregation
Data Owner
Data Owner Url
License
Licence Specifics
Provider 9fb98325-4f29-48d8-957c-1825c34d8566
Version
Dataset Available
Dataset Closed
Dataset Valid
Dataset Updating Frequency
Dataset Next Version Due
Date Published 2023-11-06
Date of Fieldwork
Dataset File Type
Dataset File Size 0
Dataset Creation Date
Dataset Access Restrictions
Metadata Created Date
Metadata Created Institution
Dataset Fields (0)